Every time you think the AI rally has topped out, it finds another gear. Yesterday was one of those days... Nvidia surged nearly 4% to a fresh ATH after reports that it will deepen its partnership with OpenAI to build massive new data centers and AI infrastructure.
Consensus for PMI numbers sees a continued growth recovery in the eurozone supporting a drift higher in euro rates. A disappointment in French PMIs, however, could be a trigger for wider French government bond spreads, which we think are still on the tight side. A further recovery of German PMIs would help maintain the current positive market sentiment
The FOMC minutes seem to be from a different time, pre the payrolls revisions; but can still embolden Powell on Friday. Gilt yields came down on the day of hotter CPI numbers suggesting a possible peak. Having said that, with Autumn Budget discussions kicking off, volatility is likely to remain. Meanwhile, the path for the 10y euro swap rate is still up
ile stocks continue to hit new highs, the worldwide sell-off in long-term government bonds is gathering pace. Rates actually rose more in nearly every G10 country than they did in the US last week, which certainly contributed to dollar weakness.
Sentiment was given a lift in Asia by newswire reports that US President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs may be of narrower scope than envisaged by investors. Trump’s National Economic Council director, Kevin Hassett, said markets are overestimating the scope of the tariffs.
