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UK Autumn Budget: Fiscal Credibility, Gilt Risk Premiums, and the Role of Foreign Investors

UK Autumn Budget: Fiscal Credibility, Gilt Risk Premiums, and the Role of Foreign Investors

The UK government's budget announcement will need to show fiscal discipline to satisfy gilt investors, and while our baseline sees enough credibility to nudge the risk premium in gilt yields lower, we are well aware of significant upside risks too. Foreign gilt investors are relatively important and could even gain in importance in the future

Economy | ING Economics
Belgium Pushes Ahead With Fiscal Reforms Amid Mounting Budget Pressures

Belgium Pushes Ahead With Fiscal Reforms Amid Mounting Budget Pressures

The federal government has unveiled a new agreement to finalise the 2026 budget and outline the main direction for economic policy in the coming years. While these steps will help reduce the public deficit, further action will be necessary to stabilise the debt ratio

Stocks | ING Economics
FX Outlook: Geopolitics, Central Bank Moves, and Key Currency Developments

FX Outlook: Geopolitics, Central Bank Moves, and Key Currency Developments

The UK Budget announcement (12.30 GMT) will see markets weigh both fiscal and inflationary implications. Sterling faces moderate downside risks in a non-inflationary, fiscally tight scenario, and severe risks if fiscal sustainability is called into doubt. Elsewhere, the dollar has more potential to depreciate despite yesterday’s correction

Forex | ING Economics
Eurozone Restructurings: Reshoring Remains Limited Despite Supply Chain Risks

Eurozone Restructurings: Reshoring Remains Limited Despite Supply Chain Risks

Global supply chain problems and geopolitical concerns may have triggered debate among businesses about reshoring production closer to home, but the numbers tell us a different story. Reported euro area reshorings have steadily declined after being surpassed by offshorings in 2019, suggesting global supply chains remain deeply integrated

Technology | FXMAG
Stubborn UK Inflation Keeps BoE Split, but December Rate Cut Still in Play

Stubborn UK Inflation Keeps BoE Split, but December Rate Cut Still in Play

UK inflation has peaked, but the latest data is a tad hawkish for the Bank of England. Food inflation was strong, which is red meat for the hawks. Services inflation rose, once volatile items are stripped out. However, we still expect the Bank to cut rates in December

Investing | ING Economics
Bank Indonesia Holds Rates as Rupiah Weakens, but Easing Cycle Still Expected

Bank Indonesia Holds Rates as Rupiah Weakens, but Easing Cycle Still Expected

Bank Indonesia held its policy rate at 4.75% amid inflation pressures and rupiah weakness, but we expect a cut in December to support growth. Risks remain skewed toward delays if currency pressures persist or the Fed postpones easinga

Economy | ING Economics
Autumn 2025 FX Report: Expectations, Monitoring List Changes, and Policy Implications

Autumn 2025 FX Report: Expectations, Monitoring List Changes, and Policy Implications

The November FX Report has been delayed but should be released soon. We expect an emphasis on the changing approach towards a tighter scrutiny on US partners’ FX practices, but we don’t think we’ll see any FX manipulator designation by Treasury. Thailand should, however, join the Monitoring List, and Switzerland will remain a focus point for markets

Forex | ING Economics
Who is Veladur broker? | Pros & Cons| What should you know before opening an account?

Who is Veladur broker? | Pros & Cons| What should you know before opening an account?

As the online trading landscape continues to evolve, investors are seeking platforms that combine security, innovation, and global accessibility. VELADUR has emerged as a modern multi-asset broker and investment firm delivering speed, transparency, and precision to traders and investors worldwide.

 

Investing | Press Information
Energy and Metals Update: Peace Talks Pressure Oil and Gas Markets, Copper Nears $11,000

Energy and Metals Update: Peace Talks Pressure Oil and Gas Markets, Copper Nears $11,000

Positive signals from both the US and Ukraine regarding a Russia-Ukraine peace deal continue to put pressure on energy markets. However, there’s little clarity on where Russia stands on the current plan

Commodities | ING Economics
Equity Weakness Drives Bull Steepening as Markets Reassess Fed Cut Odds

Equity Weakness Drives Bull Steepening as Markets Reassess Fed Cut Odds

ECONOMY
ING Economics
Pricing in Czech manufacturing remains tepid

Pricing in Czech manufacturing remains tepid

COMMODITIES
ING Economics
Gilt yields have risen on BoE repricing and increase in risk premium

Gilt yields have risen on BoE repricing and increase in risk premium

ECONOMY
ING Economics
USD: Global risk-off helping the dollar. EUR: Asymmetrical upside risks ahead

USD: Global risk-off helping the dollar. EUR: Asymmetrical upside risks ahead

ECONOMY
ING Economics
Stronger-Than-Expected US Jobs Report Complicates the Fed’s Path

Stronger-Than-Expected US Jobs Report Complicates the Fed’s Path

STOCKS
ING Economics
Japan’s Inflation Accelerates as Exports and PMI Point to Emerging Recovery

Japan’s Inflation Accelerates as Exports and PMI Point to Emerging Recovery

ECONOMY
ING Economics
East Asia Economic Outlook: BOK Holds Rates, Industrial Growth Continues, CPI and GDP Updates

East Asia Economic Outlook: BOK Holds Rates, Industrial Growth Continues, CPI and GDP Updates

INVESTING
ING Economics
Sustainability Omnibus I: Assessing the Impact of Proposed Scope Reductions on the European Banking Sector

Sustainability Omnibus I: Assessing the Impact of Proposed Scope Reductions on the European Banking Sector

TECHNOLOGY
ING Economics
Eurozone Rates Show Resilience Amid Equity Volatility

Eurozone Rates Show Resilience Amid Equity Volatility

TECHNOLOGY
ING Economics
Higher wages and lower inflation could mark a turning point for Hungary's economy

Higher wages and lower inflation could mark a turning point for Hungary's economy

INVESTING
ING Economics
USD Outlook: Fed Cuts Delayed, Euro and Yen Monitor Stimulus and Intervention

USD Outlook: Fed Cuts Delayed, Euro and Yen Monitor Stimulus and Intervention

FOREX
FXMAG
France: Services Rebound Amid Industrial Slowdown, Limited Growth Expected in 2026

France: Services Rebound Amid Industrial Slowdown, Limited Growth Expected in 2026

ECONOMY
ING Economics
Eurozone: Services Drive Growth Amid Manufacturing Slowdown, Cautious Outlook for 2026

Eurozone: Services Drive Growth Amid Manufacturing Slowdown, Cautious Outlook for 2026

BUSINESS
ING Economics
Japan: Large Fiscal Stimulus to Boost Growth and Curb Inflation, JGB Pressur

Japan: Large Fiscal Stimulus to Boost Growth and Curb Inflation, JGB Pressur

REAL ESTATE
ING Economics
Rates Spark: A frustrated Fed on liquidity watch

Rates Spark: A frustrated Fed on liquidity watch

STOCKS
ING Economics
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