Weekly Macro Themes - 3 December 2021

Here's a brief overview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. I send this report out late Friday NZ time and aim to cover a good mix of macro/ideas/risk topics, across a global macro/multi-asset universe.

This week I covered the following topics/ideas:

1. Sentiment & Technicals Check: We take a timely and comprehensive check-in on sentiment and technicals across global equities in the wake of the selloff.

2. Inflation Transit: "Transitory" has retired, and with that a policy pivot is underway.

3. Crude & Commodities: Currently viewing the crude oil crash as a “healthy correction”, some cause for optimism. On commodities in general it's about squaring up the short-term vs medium/longer-term case. The charts tell the story...

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About the Weekly Macro Themes report

The "Weekly Macro Themes" is part of our institutional offering aimed at multi-asset and macro-driven portfolio managers and strategists. The report takes a chart-driven macro, fundamental and multi-factor approach; a powerful combination of cross-asset idea generation for portfolio managers, charts on key global macro trends, analysis on portfolio risks, asset allocation research, and innovative indicators, in a format that delivers a balance of brevity and depth so that you can efficiently assimilate the insights.

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Callum Thomas

Head of Research

Callum is the founder and managing shareholder of Topdown Charts. His career background is in multi-asset investment management in New Zealand and Australia, with a focus on investment strategy and economics.

Callum has a passion for global economics and asset allocation strategy and has developed strong research and analytical expertise across economies and asset classes. Callum's approach is to deploy a blend of factors to build out a holistic picture and raise conviction. This includes valuations, monetary conditions, cyclical indicators, sentiment, and technicals. Callum believes innovation is vital to maintaining an edge through investment research and is on a constant mission to uncover and develop new datasets, indicators, and new ways of looking at the world to drive sensible and profitable decision making by portfolio managers.

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