Asian equities follow Wall Street lower | Oanda

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Awaiting Breakout from Consolidation Range

Asian markets fall, ex-China

Wall Street suffered another day of recession fears overnight, with equities slumping once again, relying on Bostic’s comments to salve the wounds and cap US yield rises and the US dollar rally. The S&P 500 retreated by 3.20%, with the Nasdaq slumping by 4.29%, and the Dow Jones losing 1.97%. No sector was spared, notably, and despite high inflation, cash is increasingly becoming King. The rot has stopped in Asia, with US futures attempting to claw back some of the overnight losses as the bottom-feeders come out to play. S&P 500 futures have risen by 0.60%, Nasdaq futures have jumped by 0.95%, and Dow futures have gained 0.45%.


In Asia, equity markets initially tumbled in response to the Wall Street moves, in a rerun of yesterday. However, the recovery by US futures this morning seems to have taken the edge of the sell-off, with Asian markets recouping some of their earlier losses. Japan’s Nikkei 225 is now down just 0.44%, with South Korea’s Kospi down 0.47%,


Meanwhile, after a tough session yesterday, the intraday rally in sentiment has pushed mainland China exchanges well into positive territory. The Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 have rallied by 1.0%. Hong Kong was pummelled earlier today but has also recovered somewhat, but it remains 2.25% lower for the day.


In regional markets, Singapore is still down by 1.20%, while Kuala Lumpur is unchanged, and Jakarta has slumped by 2.90% led by resource stocks. Taipei has retreated by 1.65%, while Manila is down 1.0% post-election, with Bangkok managing a 0.30% gain. Australian markets are also in retreat, the ASX 200 and All Ordinaries falling by 1.30%.


What makes the session odd is that markets with a high sensitivity to the China slowdown are the worst performing in Asia today, but mainland equities have rallied. The cynic in me suspects that China’s “national team” are busy today supporting the market, especially as covid-zero policies remain in force and nerves are rising around mainland property developers once again.


European markets will struggle to construct a bullish case today as well, also President Putin not declaring a was on Ukraine at yesterday’s May Day parades could be a straw to grasp. The question is really whether the bounce in US equity futures today is the start of a recovery or merely a corrective bounce to short-term oversold indicators.

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USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Awaiting Breakout from Consolidation Range

Jeffrey Halley

With more than 30 years of FX experience – from spot/margin trading and NDFs through to currency options and futures – Jeffrey Halley is OANDA’s senior market analyst for Asia Pacific, responsible for providing timely and relevant macro analysis covering a wide range of asset classes. He has previously worked with leading institutions such as Saxo Capital Markets, DynexCorp Currency Portfolio Management, IG, IFX, Fimat Internationale Banque, HSBC and Barclays. A highly sought-after analyst, Jeffrey has appeared on a wide range of global news channels including Bloomberg, BBC, Reuters, CNBC, MSN, Sky TV, Channel News Asia as well as in leading print publications including the New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, among others. He was born in New Zealand and holds an MBA from the Cass Business School.