What Are Magic Numbers For (USD) US Dollar Index (DXY)? Is 99.00 Level Possible?

ECB's Dovish Shift: Markets Anticipate Softer Policy Guidance

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Exchange Rates 04.07.2022 analysis


Technical outlook:

The US dollar index rose through the 105.33 high on Friday before finding resistance and then pulled back sharply. The index is seen to be trading close to 104.65 at this point in writing and is expected to drop lower towards 99.00 in the next several weeks. Ideally, prices should stay below the 105.52 interim resistance to keep the bearish structure intact.

The US dollar index has been rallying from the 89.20 lows since January 2021, unfolding a religious uptrend. The recent boundary which is being worked upon is between 89.50 and 105.52 respectively. Prices are expected to drop towards the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement at least, which is just below the 99.00 mark.

The US dollar index has also carved a lower-degree downswing between 105.52 and 103.15 in the past few trading sessions. Furthermore, prices have retraced from the above boundary towards 105.33, which is just above the Fibonacci 0.786 retracement. If the above structure holds well, prices are expected to reverse sharply lower from here.

Trading plan:

Potential drop through 99.00 against 106.50

Good luck!


Read more: https://www.instaforex.eu/forex_analysis/283015

ECB's Dovish Shift: Markets Anticipate Softer Policy Guidance

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