Relevance up to 09:00 UTC+2 Company does not offer investment advice and the analysis performed does not guarantee results. The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Details of the economic calendar from June 29
The third final estimate for GDP reflected a decline of 1.6%, while the preliminary estimate was -1.5%. These data reinforce investors' fears about the slowdown in economic growth. However, in doing so, they may also force the Fed to reconsider the course of a tighter monetary policy.
Analysis of trading charts from June 29
The EURUSD currency pair completed the construction of the 1.0500/1.0600 side channel by breaking its lower border. This move led to a sharp increase in the volume of short positions, which caused the euro to sell-off.
The GBPUSD currency pair rushed down through a positive correlation with EURUSD. This movement led to the breakdown of the lower border of the flat 1.2155/1.2320. As a result, the pound sterling fell to the area of 1.2100, where there was a stagnation.
Economic calendar for June 30
Today, with the opening of the European session, final data on UK GDP were published. The figures coincided with the preliminary estimate, which means that they have already been taken into account in the quote.
During the American trading session, weekly data on jobless claims in the United States will be published, where a reduction in their volume is predicted.
The volume of continuing claims for benefits may be reduced from 1.315 million to 1.310 million.
The volume of initial claims for benefits may be reduced from 229,000 to 228,000.
US Jobless Claims - 12:30 UTC
Trading plan for EUR/USD on June 30
The stagnation caused by local overheating of short positions may lead to a regrouping of trading forces. In this case, holding the price below the value of 1.0420 in a four-hour period may strengthen the downward move towards the support level of 1.0350.
Trading plan for GBP/USD on June 30
In this situation, the area of the passed level 1.2155 can play the role of resistance, increasing the downward interest. A signal of a further increase in short positions is expected after the price holds below 1.2100 in a four-hour period. In this case, sellers will have a chance to move towards the psychological level of 1.2000.
What is reflected in the trading charts?
A candlestick chart view is graphical rectangles of white and black light, with sticks on top and bottom. When analyzing each candle in detail, you will see its characteristics of a relative period: the opening price, closing price, and maximum and minimum prices.
Horizontal levels are price coordinates, relative to which a stop or a price reversal may occur. These levels are called support and resistance in the market.
Circles and rectangles are highlighted examples where the price of the story unfolded. This color selection indicates horizontal lines that may put pressure on the quote in the future.
The up/down arrows are the reference points of the possible price direction in the future.