Silver, time is on your side
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Daily Chart, Silver in US-Dollar, Income producing:
Silver in US-Dollar, daily chart as of May 27th, 2021.
We were again able to profit last week from lower trendline entry trades by taking half off after the initial price moves in our favor (see our quad exit strategy). We overall lightened up on our positions near options expiry (5), since a possible more significant retracement is likely. Our reentry projections are US$27.38 and US$26.41.
From a daily trading perspective, we are now stepping away from aggressive short-term reloading. Think exits versus entries! The above daily chart shows that principle-based entry density should be in the establishment zone of a trend and not when the world wakes up to Silvers directional run.
Silver in US-Dollar, Weekly Chart, Just getting started:
Silver in US-Dollar, weekly chart as of May 27th, 2021.
While it is sensible to get modest with aggressive trade frequency on daily timeframe, the weekly chart is still bullish. At the beginning of this year, a double top in price was firmly rejected, and prices were forced back into range. Over the last two months, Silver has advanced enormously from US$24 to US$28. Two weeks ago, we had a failed breakout through a significant resistance trendline. This week prices managed to trade above what was previously resistance and has now become support. No need to cash in the chips just now! We see a bullish consensus confirmed.
Silver in US-Dollar, Monthly Chart, Persistent strength:
Silver in US-Dollar, monthly chart as of May 27th, 2021.
Trustworthy guidance needs to be taken by the more significant player participation represented on the larger time frame charts. A look at the monthly chart shows volume supported buying. We can also see a strong supply zone below actual trading prices based on our fractional volume analysis at US$26.68 (yellow line). With this much focus on the precious metal sector and Gold coming to the forefront, we see Silver to rise into a stellar future in tech mid- to longer-term.
Silver, time is on your side:
We use a hybrid model of income-producing trading and long-term investing. We take partially initial profits quickly to mitigate risk. And we leave small portions of each winning trade exposed to the market and do not trail stops. Why no stops? The further one stretches a rubber band, the more extreme it snaps back. As such, in principle, trailing stops are a flawed methodology to protect profits. By taking partial profits early instead but leaving remainder positions exposed with only a break-even stop, the likelihood is that these runners survive significant retracements and end up in a trending environment to outpace any other profit-taking methodology.
Result:” If you catch a long-term trend, the rewards are enormous.” In the case of Silver, this long-term trend has a very high probability. With the intent of wealth preservation and long-term investments, we find the Quad exit strategy contrarian to “hodling”, Martingale strategies, pyramiding, and any other high-risk approach the one to surpass typical expectations.
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By Korbinian Koller|May 27th, 2021|Tags: low risk, Silver, silver bull, Silver Chartbook, Silver Manipulation, silversqueeze, technical analysis, time frame, trading principles|0 Comments
About the Author: Korbinian Koller
Outstanding abstract reasoning ability and ability to think creatively and originally has led over the last 25 years to extract new principles and a unique way to view the markets resulting in a multitude of various time frame systems, generating high hit rates and outstanding risk reward ratios. Over 20 years of coaching traders with heart & passion, assessing complex situations, troubleshoot and solve problems principle based has led to experience and a professional history of success. Skilled natural teacher and exceptional developer of talent. Avid learner guided by a plan with ability to suppress ego and empower students to share ideas and best practices and to apply principle-based technical/conceptual knowledge to maximize efficiency. 25+ year execution experience (50.000+ trades executed) Trading multiple personal accounts (long and short-and combinations of the two). Amazing market feel complementing mechanical systems discipline for precise and extreme low risk entries while objectively seeing the whole picture. Ability to notice and separate emotional responses from the decision-making process and to stand outside oneself and one’s concerns about images in order to function in terms of larger objectives. Developed exit strategies that compensate both for maximizing profits and psychological ease to allow for continuous flow throughout the whole trading day. In depth knowledge of money management strategies with the experience of multiple 6 sigma events in various markets (futures, stocks, commodities, currencies, bonds) embedded in extreme low risk statistical probability models with smooth equity curves and extensive risk management as well as extensive disaster risk allow for my natural capacity for risk-taking.
