Intraday Market Analysis – USD Regains Momentum

Intraday Market Analysis – USD Regains Momentum

USDCHF bounces higher

Intraday Market Analysis – USD Regains Momentum - 1

The US dollar rallied after January’s nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations. The latest pullback found support near the previous low at 0.9180.

A bullish RSI divergence suggests a loss of momentum in the sell-off. A close above 0.9275 would force short-term sellers to cover and pave the way for a broader rebound.

Then the double top (0.9360) on the daily chart would be the next target. On the downside, a bearish breakout may send the pair to 0.9110.

USDCAD awaits breakout

Intraday Market Analysis – USD Regains Momentum - 2

The loonie weakened after a rise in Canada’s unemployment rate in January. The greenback has previously come to a halt at the daily resistance (1.2800).

The retracement then found bids at the resistance-turned-support at 1.2650, suggesting traders’ strong interest in keeping the two-week-long rally intact. The RSI has inched into the overbought territory and may drive the price lower with short-term profit-taking.

A bullish breakout may extend the uptrend to December’s peak at 1.2950.

GER 40 lacks support

Intraday Market Analysis – USD Regains Momentum - 3

The Dax 40 drifts lower after the ECB’s hawkish turn. The recent rebound met stiff selling pressure at 15740. Then a fall below 15350 indicates a lack of commitment from the buy-side.

A bearish MA cross suggests an acceleration to the downside and may attract more bears. The demand area around 14850 is a critical floor on the daily chart. Its breach could trigger a bearish reversal in the medium term.

An oversold RSI may cause a limited bounce. The bulls need to reclaim 15500 in order to turn sentiment around.

John Benjamin

John Benjamin

John Benjamin is a Macro-Analyst at Orbex. John has over 8 years of experience specializing in the currency markets, tracking the macroeconomic and geopolitical developments shaping the financial markets. John applies a mix of fundamental and technical analysis and has a special interest in inter-market analysis and global politics.