Intraday Market Analysis – Bullish Extension

Intraday Market Analysis – Bullish Extension

AUDUSD gains momentum as rally extends

Intraday Market Analysis – Bullish Extension - 1

Markets bid up the Australian dollar after the country’s unemployment rate dropped from 5.8% to 5.6% in March.

A brief pullback overnight near the 30-hour moving average (0.7700) was met with strong buying interest. The RSI’s easing from the overbought zone suggests that there could be more room on the upside.

The latest rally above 0.7750 may attract more momentum players into the bidding war. This might open the path to 0.7850, a key resistance on the daily chart.

USDNOK tests lower band of consolidation range

Intraday Market Analysis – Bullish Extension - 2

Surging oil prices have put the commodity-sensitive Norwegian krone on the launchpad against a soft US dollar.

Successive breakouts below 0.8470 then 0.8390 were a strong sign that the bias remains bearish.

The US dollar may carry on its downtrend following a three-month-long consolidation between 8.3200 and 8.7200. There is a chance of a temporary rebound as the RSI rises back from the oversold area.

8.3200 would be the next target while 8.4500 is the immediate resistance in case of a retracement.

UK 100 lifts January’s resistance

Intraday Market Analysis – Bullish Extension - 3

The FTSE 100 climbs higher as value stocks gain momentum amid the UK’s reopening.

The bullish close above January’s high at 6963 indicates that the bulls are still in charge of the price action despite recent profit-takings.

The next round of rally could set the pre-pandemic level above 7400 as the target in the weeks to come.

In the short term, the index will need to lift the psychological level of 7000. An overbought RSI may cause a temporary pullback, and 6920 would be the closest support in that case.

John Benjamin Macro-Analyst at Orbex

John Benjamin is a Macro-Analyst at Orbex. John has over 8 years of experience specializing in the currency markets, tracking the macroeconomic and geopolitical developments shaping the financial markets. John applies a mix of fundamental and technical analysis and has a special interest in inter-market analysis and global politics.