GBP/USD Outlook: Navigating Chaotic Year-End Movements and Anticipating Potential Trends

Federal Reserve's Stance: Holding Rates Steady Amidst Market Expectations, with a Cautionary Tone on Overly Aggressive Rate Cut Pricings

GBP/USD exhibited quite chaotic movements during the last trading day of the previous week, month, and year. The price constantly changed direction, but at the end of the day, it stayed above the trendline that has suggested an uptrend for the past couple of months. Therefore, the pair could resume its upward movement as early as Tuesday.

 

However, at the same time, the euro has settled below the trendline, indicating a good chance for a downward move. Take note that the euro and the pound often (almost always) trade in the same direction. Therefore, it wouldn't be surprising if the pound also settles below the trendline today. This would open up possibilities for the pound to fall towards the Senkou Span B line.

Of course, any downward movement can easily come to an end near this line since the dollar is still weak, and market participants are not eager to buy it. However, this week will bring plenty of important information from the U.S., and if it turns out to be positive, the dollar could significantly strengthen its positions, especially amid a three-month decline and oversold conditions.

Therefore, we believe that the pair could potentially start a downward movement as early as tomorrow, which we could work with. The main condition is for the pair to breach the trendline. Speaking of trading signals, there were quite a few on Friday, but volatility was weak, and the movements were chaotic. On the last day of the year, hardly anyone wanted to enter the market, especially since last week's movements were absolutely unpredictable. Therefore, we believe that the year has ended and it's best to leave it in the past.

 

Federal Reserve's Stance: Holding Rates Steady Amidst Market Expectations, with a Cautionary Tone on Overly Aggressive Rate Cut Pricings

InstaForex Analysis

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