GBP/JPY: Pound-Yen Rally Faces Exhaustion and Potential Pullback

Turbulent Times Ahead: ECB's Tough Decision Amid Soaring Oil Prices

GBP/JPY

The British pound has appreciated over 18% to the Japanese yen this year as stubborn inflation has bolstered the odds of aggressive central bank tightening by the BOE.  Pound-yen has steadily gathered strength in the first half of the year but exhaustion could be settling in.  The pound initially rallied earlier in London after weekly hourly earnings came in scorching hot, which should raise the prospects of a half-point rate hike at the August 3rd BOE meeting. The pound may get a major boost against the dollar if it can extend above the 1.30 level, but for some traders it is looking toppish against the yen.

GBP/JPY may have a decent pullback if continued bearishness takes price below the bullish trendline that has been in place since March.  Pound downside momentum could target 176.50 against the yen if the bullish trend line (around the 179.75 ) is invalidated.

Key resistance currently resides around the 184.20 level.

 

Turbulent Times Ahead: ECB's Tough Decision Amid Soaring Oil Prices

Ed Moya

With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya is a senior market analyst with OANDA, producing up-to-the-minute intermarket analysis, coverage of geopolitical events, central bank policies and market reaction to corporate news. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Most recently he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business and Sky TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most renowned global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Breitbart, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.