This week so far has definitely been about the USD. Price has seen solid gains so far, with the index adding 0.98% and hitting a new weekly high of 99.65.
Inflation worries in the US, followed by aggressive comments from the Fed regarding rate increases to combat soaring inflation, have been the key driver. US inflation hit40-yearadjustment to try and get it under control. Inflation is now a widespread issue, with Europe, Britain and Australia feeling the pinch.
Today we are focusing on the USDCAD as a higher USD, and weaker oil prices continue to support buying. The price broke out of its mini range yesterday, and buyers have followed up on the break with new weekly highs today. Today’s move also confirms the breakout. Price started its move from a solid-looking foundation after forming a range off a well-established support area.
Looking forward, if this is a true move higher, we would like to see if buyers can get the price back up to 1.2626. This area is a previous low and could develop into resistance. What we don’t want to see is a new move by sellers pushing price back into the range or back down to support. This could become a failure break and set up new downward pressure.
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