- Noord stream 1 gas pipeline to begin maintenance.
- Gains for the GBP suggest that the currency has been holding some political risk premium.
- AUD/JPY bullish.
Sell-off sentiment for the Euro continues
The market is reflecting bearish signals for this currency pair. The sell-off sentiment for the Euro is showing no sign of stopping going into the weekend, the woes around the Euro continue to stack up, with latest concerns becoming stronger around the repairing of the Noord Stream gas pipeline. The pipeline has been labelled a risk to both the EU economy and the German economy should Russia cut the gas flow or undersupply. In addition, the Fed’s FOMC meeting minutes for June reiterated the Fed’s commitment to aggressively hiking interest rates despite risk of slow economic growth.
EUR/USD Price Chart
Boris Johnson stepping down offers GBP support
The market is reflecting bearish signals for this currency pair. The EUR/GBP pair fell by around 1% on Thursday in the wake of UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s resignation announcement; he will remain in power until a replacement is found. The pound sterling gains suggest indication that the currency has been holding some political risk premium that looks to have converted to a certain extent. Euro currency risk remains a domino effect of many events.
EUR/GBP Price Chart
Dovish BoJ continues
The market is reflecting bullish signals for this currency pair. The border weakness of the Japanese Yen has been felt. The Monetary of the Ministry of Finance (MoF) in Japan and by extension includes the Bank of Japan (BoJ), is going in the complete opposite direction to other global central banks (with the exception of the People’s Bank of China. The BoJ recently committed to extending their yield curve control program (YCC) and are close to holding 50% of all Japanese government bonds (JGBs) on issue.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), on the other hand, has committed to aggressive monetary policy tightening, offering the AUD support.
AUD/JPY Price Chart
The market is reflecting bullish signals for this currency pair. The Japanese Yen has been facing weakness across the board as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continues to adopt dovish monetary policy and the Federal Reserve adopts the opposite approach and continues on with their aggressive monetary policy. The US Dollar continues to strengthen.
USD/JPY Price Chart
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, poundsterlinglive.com, dailyfx.com