Crude Oil Price Probably Not Reach 100$(USD) Shortly

Crude oil price have been affected by i.a. OPEC+. Craig Erlam (Oanda) sees Brent trading between $90 and $100, unless...

The equity rally in the US didn’t pick up momentum after the Federal Reserve (Fed) released its latest meeting minutes, which sounded more hawkish-than-expected, or more hawkish-than-what-was-needed-to-give-another-boost to the US stock markets.

The biggest take was that the Fed will continue tightening its policy until it sees that inflation is ‘firmly on path back to 2%’. The S&P500 fell 0.72% as Nasdaq gave back 1.20%, although the jump in the US 2-year yield was relatively soft, and the Fed funds futures scaled back the expectation of a 75 bp hike in the next meeting. Crude price completed an ABCD pattern, and it is more likely than not we see the price rebound to the $100 level in the medium run.

In China, Tencent announced its first ever revenue drop as government crackdown continued taking a toll on its sales, and the pound couldn’t gain even after the above 10% inflation data boosted the Bank of England (BoE) hawks and the call fall steeper rate hikes to tame inflation in the UK.

Watch the full episode to find out more!

0:00 Intro

0:28 As expected, Fed minutes were more hawkish-than-expected

3:39 Crude oil has more chance to rebound than to fall

6:02 Tencent posts first-ever revenue drop

7:14 Apple extends gains, but technicals warn of correction

8:38 Pound unable to extend gains despite rising Fed hawks’ voices

Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020.

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Crude oil price have been affected by i.a. OPEC+. Craig Erlam (Oanda) sees Brent trading between $90 and $100, unless...

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