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Bitcoin closed Thursday near $24,000, retesting that area after a failed attempt to climb higher in the middle of last week. The first cryptocurrency has added 3.8% over 24 hours, about as much as it has gained in the past seven days. Ethereum has added 4.8% in 24 hours, to $1720. Altcoins from the top 10 gained between 3.8% (BNB) and 10% (Solana).

The total capitalisation of the crypto market, according to CoinMarketCap, rose by 3.8% to $1.1 trillion overnight.

Bitcoin has closed above its 50-day moving average for two days. Closing the week above 22,700 would be a telling return to territory above the 200-week moving average.

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Such a technical disposition could inspire retail buyers. Other factors are at work for institutionalists, notably a recovery in demand for risky assets and a pullback of the dollar from multi-year highs.

However, the longer-term and whole picture is working against the buyers. As long as we see tightening monetary and economic conditions, the crypto market has to move against the tide. In addition, Guggenheim Partners' widely held view remains that the industry has not yet been "cleared" of distressed participants. Crypto will be in trouble long-term because of regulatory pressure and a lack of strong institutional support.

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According to the IMF, the cryptocurrency market will fall if the economy goes into recession. Preliminary US GDP data released on Thursday confirmed the start of a technical recession in the country.

The UK has suggested that cryptocurrencies be treated as a new type of property, making it much easier to protect investors in this instrument.


Alex Kuptsikevich

Alex Kuptsikevich

Financial market professional with 16-years' experience and Senior financial analyst at FxPro. Author of daily reviews on the impact of economic events with comments regularly featured in top international and Russian media. Covers fundamental analysis, global markets, foreign exchange market, gold, oil, cryptocurrencies.

Alex Kuptsikevich is a regular contributor to both digital and print media including CNBC, Forbes, Reuters, MarketWatch, BBC and Coindesk.


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