Are Euro To US Dollar (EUR/USD), EUR/GBP And EUR/CHF In Danger? Will Euro Crash?

Are Euro To US Dollar (EUR/USD), EUR/GBP And EUR/CHF In Danger? Will Euro Crash?

Today's meeting did not satisfy the expectation that the ECB could lend a helping hand to the euro by keeping it from plunging off a cliff. Europe has refused to accelerate monetary policy normalisation as most G7 countries have.

The single currency risks remaining under pressure

Currency market dynamics are always a comparison of relative strength. With a bigger blow to the economy from the events in Ukraine and no less of a problem with inflation, the single currency risks remaining under pressure due to a rapidly widening gap in interest rates in the euro area and beyond.

Euro ready to fall off the cliff  - 1

The Bank of England and the Bank of Korea have returned rates to pre-pandemic levels

The European Central Bank kept key interest rates unchanged and noted that the asset purchase programme would be scaled back and completed in the third quarter. Market participants expected these announcements. The main focus of market participants was on comments about further plans, and they are relatively mild, considering the external environment. The Fed is preparing the ground for a 50 point rate hike and the start of QE. The Bank of Canada and RBNZ already did so yesterday. The Bank of England and the Bank of Korea have returned rates to pre-pandemic levels.

Alex Kuptsikevich

Alex Kuptsikevich

Financial market professional with 16-years' experience and Senior financial analyst at FxPro. Author of daily reviews on the impact of economic events with comments regularly featured in top international and Russian media. Covers fundamental analysis, global markets, foreign exchange market, gold, oil, cryptocurrencies.

Alex Kuptsikevich is a regular contributor to both digital and print media including CNBC, Forbes, Reuters, MarketWatch, BBC and Coindesk.