weekly pivot points

Crypto Industry News: Qatar has taken little action against crypto companies violating the ban announced in 2019. This opinion was expressed in a Wednesday report by the global anti-money laundering authority. The Financial Action Task Force called on the Central Bank of Qatar to be more proactive in identifying and sanctioning virtual asset service providers. Thus, it reminds about companies that have violated the ban, and the report itself accuses the country of being too lenient towards financing terrorism.   "Qatar has failed to demonstrate that competent authorities proactively identify and take enforcement action for potential violations of this ban" in the Financial Center Regulatory Authority's 2019 ban case. No formal sanctions have so far been imposed on an individual or legal entity for violating the ban ( even where an unlicensed cryptocurrency provider operating in the country was allegedly founded.   There are serious inconsistencies between Qatar's risk profile and the type and extent of the person/company being prosecuted and convicted for terrorism financing activities" - said the FATF, a Paris-based global watchdog that seeks to monitor and curtail dirty money flows. Qatar, although less crypto-friendly than its neighbors, e.g.   The United Arab Emirates, it was the governor of the country's central bank that pointed to the potential benefits of faster payments. He added that QBC is investigating the digital Rial. In a statement posted on its website, the central bank said the assessment, which found the country met or largely met each of the forty technical requirements, "shows the state's commitment to combating illicit financing." Technical Market Outlook: The BTC/USD pair is down more than 6.5% since the local high was made at the level of $28,446.   The bears moved below 61% Fibonacci retracement as well and the local low was made at the level of $26,505. All the pull-backs were rather shallow and did not break any of the key technical levels. The down move is being backed up by momentum, which is back below the level fifty (negative sentiment prevails). The next target for bears is seen at the swing low located at $25,850. The intraday technical support is seen at $26,712 and the intraday technical resistance is seen at $27,192.     Weekly Pivot Points: WR3 - $29,254 WR2 - $28,640 WR1 - $28,255 Weekly Pivot - $28,028 WS1 - $27,645 WS2 - $27,415 WS3 - $26,803   Trading Outlook: The bulls broken above the gamechanging level located at $25,442, so now the mid-term outlook for BTC is bullish. The next target for bulls is seen at the level of $32,350. As long as the level of 19,572 is not clearly violated, there is a chance for a long-term up trend to continue. Read more: https://www.instaforex.eu/forex_analysis/325905

Technical Market Outlook: The GBP/USD pair had made the last swing low at the level of 1.2308 as the market is still under the bearish pressure, but the bulls have managed to retrace 61% of the last wave down and hit the level of 1.2540. The market is trading above the 50 and 100 MA already.   The intraday technical support is located at 1.2517. The momentum is strong and positive on the H4 time frame chart, which supports the bullish short-term outlook for GBP, however the extremely overbought market conditions had been hit, so the pull-back might occur any time soon.     Weekly Pivot Points: WR3 - 1.23581 WR2 - 1.23505 WR1 - 1.23473 Weekly Pivot - 1.23429 WS1 - 1.23397 WS2 - 1.23353 WS3 - 1.23277   Trading Outlook: A Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern on the Weekly time frame chart 100 pips away from the 61% Fibonacci retracement located at the level of 1.2778 might indicate the corrective cycle to the upside had been terminated. Any sustained breakout below the technical support at 1.2444 will be the first indication of stronger bearish pressure.

Technical Market Outlook: The EUR/USD pair has been seen getting away from the swing low located at the level of 1.0636 and the recent local high was made at the level of 1.0780, just above the technical resistance seen at 1.0761.   The immediate technical support is seen at the level of 1.0747. On the other hand, the next target for bears is seen at the level of 1.0623 and the down move should resume as soon as the pull-back is done. There is no indication of the down trend to terminate or reverse yet. The market participants await the NFP-Payrolls data release that might trigger an increase in volatility.     Weekly Pivot Points: WR3 - 1.07387 WR2 - 1.07284 WR1 - 1.07229 Weekly Pivot - 1.07181 WS1 - 1.07126 WS2 - 1.07078 WS3 - 1.06975   Trading Outlook: Since the beginning of October 2022 the EUR/USD is in the corrective cycle to the upside, but the main, long-term trend remains bearish. This corrective cycle might had been terminated at the level of 1.2080 which is 61% Fibonacci retracement level. The EUR had made a new multi-decade low at the level of 0.9538, so as long as the USD is being bought all across the board, the down trend will continue towards the new lows.  

On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair grew "out of nowhere" again. And it was an impressive one at that. Take note that there was no significant news from the UK this week. If, for example, the Bank of England had made hawkish statements, the movement would have been understandable.   However, all the data that influenced the market came from overseas, and many of them favored the dollar. The situation with the euro is slightly different, which explains its growth. After all, yesterday and the daybefore that, several important reports were released in the EU, two speeches by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde took place, and the ECB minutes were published. But it is very difficult to say why the pound is rising again.       However, we did experience a good intraday trending movement yesterday, which made the trading signals strong and profitable. Initially, the pair consolidated below the range of 1.2429-1.2445 and managed to move down by about 20 pips, allowing for setting a stop loss at breakeven and leaving the trade without losses when the pair consolidated above the mentioned range. Based on the buy signal, long positions should have been opened, and the price subsequently surpassed the nearest target level of 1.2520.   The trade should have been manually closed in the evening, resulting in a profit of about 75 pips, which is quite good. But let's reiterate: it is convenient to trade when there is a strong and trend-driven movement. It is necessary to avoid flat markets.     According to the latest report, non-commercial traders closed 8,100 long positions and 7,100 short ones. The net position dropped by 1,000 but remained bullish. Over the past 9-10 months, the net position has been on the rise despite bearish sentiment. The pound is bullish against the greenback in the medium term, but there have been hardly any reasons for that. We assume that a prolonged bear run has begun. COT reports suggest a bullish continuation. However, we can hardly explain why the uptrend should go on.   Both major pairs are in correlation now. At the same time, the positive net position on EUR/USD shows the end of the uptrend. Meanwhile, the net position on GBP/USD is neutral. The pound has gained about 2,300 pips. Therefore, a bearish correction is now needed. Otherwise, a bullish continuation would make no sense even despite the lack of support from fundamental factors. Overall, non-commercial traders hold 57,600 sell positions and 69,200 long ones. We do not see the pair extending growth in the long term.     In the 1-hour time frame, the pair has started an upward movement, surpassing all the lines of the Ichimoku indicator. The pound doesn't exactly have grounds to buy the pound, which remains heavily overbought. However, take note that the market has the right to trade regardless of the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop. The only thing I can say is that the movement doesn't correspond to the nature of the reports and news.   On June 2, trading levels are seen at 1.2269, 1.2349, 1.2429-1.2445, 1.2520, 1.2589, 1.2666, 1.2762. Senkou Span B (1.2550) and Kijun-sen (1.2375) lines may also generate signals when the price either breaks or bounces off them. A Stop Loss should be placed at the breakeven point when the price goes 20 pips in the right direction. Ichimoku indicator lines can move intraday, which should be taken into account when determining trading signals.   There are also support and resistance which can be used for locking in profits. Today, the event calendar is empty in the UK.   On the other hand, the United States will release its highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls and unemployment reports. We have no doubt that the market will react to them, and the reaction could be practically anything - it is currently impossible to predict the values of the reports. Indicators on charts:   Resistance/support - thick red lines, near which the trend may stop. They do not make trading signals. The Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B lines are the Ichimoku indicator lines moved to the hourly timeframe from the 4-hour timeframe. They are also strong lines. Extreme levels are thin red lines, from which the price used to bounce earlier. They can produce trading signals. Yellow lines are trend lines, trend channels, and other technical patterns. Indicator 1 on the COT chart is the size of the net position of each trader category. Indicator 2 on the COT chart is the size of the net position for the Non-commercial group of traders.  

Technical Market Outlook: The EUR/USD pair has been seen bouncing from the local low made at the level of 1.0675 and so far the high of the bounce was made at the level of 1.0732. The intraday technical resistance is seen at 1.0780, so bulls need to break out above this level in order to continue higher. Any breakout below the level of 1.0675 would sustain the bearish outlook and put the level of 1.0636 for a test (swing low). The weak and negative momentum supports the short-term bearish outlook for EUR as the bulls are not able to move above the neutral level of fifty on the RSI indicator.     Weekly Pivot Points: WR3 - 1.07335 WR2 - 1.07121 WR1 - 1.06983 Weekly Pivot - 1.06907 WS1 - 1.06769 WS2 - 1.06693 WS3 - 1.06479   Trading Outlook: Since the beginning of October 2022 the EUR/USD is in the corrective cycle to the upside, but the main, long-term trend remains bearish. This corrective cycle might had been terminated at the level of 1.2080 which is 61% Fibonacci retracement level. The EUR had made a new multi-decade low at the level of 0.9538, so as long as the USD is being bought all across the board, the down trend will continue towards the new lows.  

Technical Market Outlook: The EUR/USD pair has been seen bouncing from the local low made at the level of 1.0675 and so far the high of the bounce was made at the level of 1.0732. The intraday technical resistance is seen at 1.0780, so bulls need to break out above this level in order to continue higher. Any breakout below the level of 1.0675 would sustain the bearish outlook and put the level of 1.0636 for a test (swing low). The weak and negative momentum supports the short-term bearish outlook for EUR as the bulls are not able to move above the neutral level of fifty on the RSI indicator.     Weekly Pivot Points: WR3 - 1.07335 WR2 - 1.07121 WR1 - 1.06983 Weekly Pivot - 1.06907 WS1 - 1.06769 WS2 - 1.06693 WS3 - 1.06479   Trading Outlook: Since the beginning of October 2022 the EUR/USD is in the corrective cycle to the upside, but the main, long-term trend remains bearish. This corrective cycle might had been terminated at the level of 1.2080 which is 61% Fibonacci retracement level. The EUR had made a new multi-decade low at the level of 0.9538, so as long as the USD is being bought all across the board, the down trend will continue towards the new lows.  

Crypto Industry News: El Salvador recognized BTC as legal tender in 2021. According to the authorities, this has led to increased interest in the country in terms of tourism. Added to this is the renewable energy development program at Metapan, which aims to use solar and wind energy to power bitcoin miners. Now it turns out that Tether is one of the investors in the mentioned renewable energy project. As part of it, Volcano Energy, a 241 megawatt (MW) renewable energy center, was created in Metapan.   It is expected to generate 169 MW of solar energy and 72 MW of wind energy. The energy produced will power the BTC mines in El Salvador. Tether estimates that the park's computing power will exceed 1.3 exahash per second. This would mean that Volcano Energy would be one of the largest cryptocurrency mines in the world. Tether's chief technology officer, Paolo Ardoino, said the investment fits into a broader vision.   The company wants to invest in the production of renewable energy, as well as in mining infrastructure. Volcano Energy CEO Josue Lopez added that "over 52% of bitcoin is currently issued sustainably." It is not known exactly how much Tether invested.   The total cost will be USD 1 billion. Technical Market Outlook: The ETH/USD pair has bounced back above the level of $1,839 and is trading above the 50 and 100 MA. The next target for bulls is seen at the level of $1,913 and then possibly at the last swing high located at $1,928. The intraday technical support is seen at the level of $1,839 and $1,822. The strong and positive momentum on the H4 time frame chart supports the short-term bullish outlook for ETH.     Weekly Pivot Points: WR3 - $1,962 WR2 - $1,919 WR1 - $1,894 Weekly Pivot - $1,877 WS1 - $1,851 WS2 - $1,834 WS3 - $1,791   Trading Outlook: The Ethereum market has been seen making lower highs and lower low since the swing high was made in the middle of the August 2022 at the level of $2,029. This is the key level for bulls, so it needs to be broken in order to continue the up trend. The key technical support is seen at $1,368, so as long as the market trades above this level, the outlook remains bullish.  

Crypto Industry News: Brian Armstrong, head of Coinbase, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) are preparing for a showdown. This could affect the future of the cryptocurrency industry. Armstrong has strongly expressed his dissatisfaction with the SEC's approach, which appears to be clearly targeting the broader crypto industry. Armstrong mercilessly criticized the SEC via Twitter.     He alleged that instead of striving to understand companies in the cryptocurrency industry, more massive logs are still thrown at their feet. He argues that the SEC - as a state regulator - should instruct similar companies. Guide how to operate in accordance with the regulations, instead of fighting them in court. The CEO of Coinbase has made it clear that he is proud to represent the industry in court in the search for clarity of rules for the crypto space. This seems especially important in light of the fact that the regulator carefully looked at Coinbase's activities before agreeing to its listing on the stock exchange.     It seems that Armstrong and his team are determined to lead the fight for the future of the cryptocurrency industry. In response to the SEC chairman's call, Armstrong explained that there is no pathway in the current system that would allow it to function legally. He also pointed to conflicting statements issued by the SEC and the Futures Trading Commission on the differences between a security and a commodity.       Technical Market Outlook: The BTC/USD pair has made a V-shape reversal from the lows seen at the level of $25,442 and is currently trading above 50 and 100 MA around the level of $27,000. The next target for bulls is seen at the level of $27,452 and $27,570. The key short them technical resistance is the swing high located at the level of $28,446 and only a sustained breakout above this level would be considered more bullish. The intraday technical support is seen at $25,892. The strong and positive momentum on the H4 time frame chart supports the short-term bullish outlook for BTC.   Weekly Pivot Points: WR3 - $28,056 WR2 - $27,490 WR1 - $27,126 Weekly Pivot - $26,917 WS1 - $26,553 WS2 - $26,343 WS3 - $25,770      Trading Outlook: The bulls broken above the gamechanging level located at $25,442, so now the mid-term outlook for BTC is bullish. The next target for bulls is seen at the level of $32,350. As long as the level of 19,572 is not clearly violated, there is a chance for a long-term up trend to continue.        

The EUR/USD pair has been rejected from the 50 and 100 MA located at 1.0886 and in the short-term the bulls are under pressure. Currently, the volatility on the market was subdued and the market participants await the fundamental trigger to increase the market movement.   The immediate technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.0883 (100 MA), but the key technical support is seen at 1.0836. Please notice, the momentum is back under the level of fifty, so there is a confirmation of the bearish pressure on the lower time frame charts. Only a sustained breakout above the moving average dynamic resistance would change the outlook to more bullish. Weekly Pivot Points: WR3 - 1.09868 WR2 - 1.09389 WR1 - 1.09120 Weekly Pivot - 1.08910 WS1 - 1.08641 WS2 - 1.08431 WS3 - 1.07952   Trading Outlook: Since the beginning of October 2022 the EUR/USD is in the corrective cycle to the upside, but the main, long-term trend remains bearish. This corrective cycle might had been terminated at the level of 1.2080 which is 61% Fibonacci retracement level. The EUR had made a new multi-decade low at the level of 0.9538, so as long as the USD is being bought all across the board, the down trend will continue towards the new lows. Read more: https://www.instaforex.com/forex_analysis/329986      

Technical Market Outlook: The GBP/USD pair has bounced from the technical support located at the level of 1.2620 for the third time, so this level had been established as very important support level.   The recent momentum breakout into the positive territory on the H4 time frame chart supports the short-term bullish outlook for GBP, however, current momentum is neutral again. Only a strong reversal and a breakout above the local supply zone would change the short-term bearish outlook. Reversal confirmation comes with the level of 1.2826 breakout (100 DMA level).     Weekly Pivot Points: WR3 - 1.27925 WR2 - 1.27651 WR1 - 1.27528 Weekly Pivot - 1.27377 WS1 - 1.27254 WS2 - 1.27103 WS3 - 1.26829   Trading Outlook: The bulls keep continuing the up trend towards the key technical resistance located at the level of 1.3163 and a breakout above this level is needed to extend the up trend towards the last Weekly swing high seen at 1.4248. Only a sustained breakout blow the technical support seen at the level of 1.1775 would change the outlook to bearish.   Read more: https://www.instaforex.eu/forex_analysis/336146

Technical Market Outlook: The EUR/USD pair has bounced from the key technical resistance located at 1.0834 and is heading towards the 100 MA on H4 time frame chart located at 1.0887. The big Head & Shoulders pattern on the H4 time frame chart extends the market drop the downside with a potential target seen at the level of 1.0636 (H&S measurement), however, now is the time for a pull-back. The intraday technical support is seen at the level of 1.0841 and the intraday technical resistance is located at 1.0893. The strong and positive momentum on the H4 time frame chart supports the short-term bullish outlook for EUR.     Weekly Pivot Points: WR3 - 1.08599 WR2 - 1.08348 WR1 - 1.08265 Weekly Pivot - 1.08097 WS1 - 1.08014 WS2 - 1.07846 WS3 - 1.07595   Trading Outlook: Since the beginning of October 2022 the EUR/USD is in the corrective cycle to the upside, but the main, long-term trend remains bearish. This corrective cycle might be terminated at the level of 1.1286 which is 61% Fibonacci retracement level when it is hit, so please keep an eye on this level and the way the market participants (bulls and bears) will deal with it.