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Details of the economic calendar on June 21 UK inflation rate for May amounted to 8.7%, remaining at the level of the previous month. Analytical agencies had predicted a slowdown in price growth to 8.4%. Given this data, there is confidence that the Bank of England will increase its key interest rate. The speeches of representatives of the Federal Reserve System and the European Central Bank have become the main leverage for speculators. The speech by ECB board member Isabel Schnabel at the conference   "New challenges for the Economic and Monetary Union in the post-crisis environment" caused a wave of speculation on the euro. Schnabel clearly indicated that a high level of inflation may persist for a prolonged period. This will lead to subsequent increases in the key interest rate. Almost at the same time as the ECB representative, the head of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, spoke in Congress, but he did not say anything new, only reiterating that most members of the Federal Reserve are inclined to raise the rate by the end of the year, which was already known. Analysis of trading charts from June 21 The EUR/USD currency pair completed a correction phase with a new upward cycle.   During this phase, not only was the local high of the previous week surpassed, but the exchange rate also reached the psychological level of 1.1000. The GBP/USD pair slowed down its correction formation around the 1.2700 level. This led to a partial recovery of long positions, but there are no radical changes on the trading chart. Economic calendar for June 22 Today, market participants will pay special attention to the outcomes of the Bank of England meeting. Investors expect the possibility of a significant interest rate hike after a new inflation shock. Markets are pricing in a 45% probability of a rate increase to 5% at the June meeting and a 55% probability of a more conventional increase of 25 basis points. Special attention will be given to the regulator's comments regarding their view on future inflation and interest rates.     Time targeting: Bank of England meeting outcome – 11:00 UTC Minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting – 11:00 UTC Bank of England inflation letter – 12:00 UTC EUR/USD trading plan for June 22 A sharp price change and approaching the key level could have led to the euro being overbought. However, speculators may ignore technical signals if the price continues to hold above the 1.1000 level. In the event of a price rebound from the psychological level, traders will consider a downward scenario.  

It's not surprising that the market is simply stagnant. Not only is the economic calendar completely empty, but traders are also focused on a few other things, quite detached from the global economy. However, this cannot go on forever.   Especially since macro data will be published today. And we're not talking about some insignificant data, but about durable goods orders in the United States, which are expected to fall by 0.9%. This means that consumer activity is somewhat declining. Following that, inflation will continue to slow down. So this could prove to be disadvantageous for the dollar today, and the greenback may depreciate.     The GBP/USD pair has once again rebounded from the support level of 1.2700. However, there have been no significant changes on the trading chart, and the quote is still around the low end of the corrective cycle. On the four-hour chart, the RSI technical indicator is hovering along the 50 midline, indicating a flat.   On the same time frame, the Alligator's MAs are headed downwards. This is a residual signal from the corrective move. Outlook: The sideways movement between 1.2700 and 1.2750 can serve as a consolidation phase, during which sharp price changes are possible. The most optimal tactic would be a breakout strategy based on the range.   In terms of the complex indicator analysis, we see that in the short-term and intraday period, technical indicators are giving mixed signals due to the flat phase. In the medium-term, the indicators are pointing to an upward cycle.