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Overview of macroeconomic reports

 

On Thursday, no significant reports lined up for the UK, the European Union, or Germany. The US will publish reports on initial jobless claims and durable-goods orders. Unemployment claims is a relatively weak indicator simply because it is published weekly, and deviations from forecasts are rare. Since there are no deviations, there is no market reaction. Durable goods orders are more important as it reflects the change in purchase volumes of expensive category goods, such as cars, real estate, or major appliances. But the same thing applies here, it is important for the values to deviate from forecasts. If there is none, there's also no reaction. If there is, then we can expect a strong market reaction.

 

Overview of fundamental events

There is absolutely nothing to highlight among Thursday's fundamental events. There are no speeches from officials of the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and the Bank of England. However, the Jackson

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Friday's Market Overview: Minimal Impact Expected from Macroeconomic Reports

ING Economics ING Economics 18.08.2023 11:46
Overview of macroeconomic reports There are hardly any important reports on Friday. The euro area will release its final assessment of inflation for July, which is unlikely to differ from the preliminary assessment. Therefore, we do not expect any reaction to this data. The UK will publish a retail sales report, which is not that important. Therefore, we do not expect a strong market reaction to this report. Therefore, there will be no important events on Friday, and both pairs will likely continue their relatively weak movements. The pound is in a sideways channel, and the euro is in a weak downtrend.   Overview of fundamental events There is absolutely nothing to highlight among the fundamental events. No speeches by officials of the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, or the European Central Bank. Therefore, the market will focus on the macro data, but there are hardly any of those as well. It seems that we are in for another muted day.   Bottom line On Friday, we are expecting rather boring trades. We don't expect strong movements from either the pound or the euro, but that does not mean that they will not happen. Take note that the market can trade without reference to the fundamental and macroeconomic background. Main rules of the trading system: The strength of the signal is calculated by the time it took to form the signal (bounce/drop or overcoming the level). The less time it took, the stronger the signal. If two or more trades were opened near a certain level due to false signals, all subsequent signals from this level should be ignored. In a flat market, any currency pair can generate a lot of false signals or not generate them at all. But in any case, as soon as the first signs of a flat market are detected, it is better to stop trading. Trades are opened in the time interval between the beginning of the European session and the middle of the American one when all trades must be closed manually. On the 30-minute timeframe, you can trade based on MACD signals only on the condition of good volatility and provided that a trend is confirmed by the trend line or a trend channel. If two levels are located too close to each other (from 5 to 15 points), they should be considered as an area of support or resistance. Comments on charts Support and resistance levels are levels that serve as targets when opening long or short positions. Take Profit orders can be placed around them. Red lines are channels or trend lines that display the current trend and show which direction is preferable for trading now. The MACD (14,22,3) indicator, both histogram and signal line, is an auxiliary indicator that can also be used as a source of signals. Important speeches and reports (always found in the news calendar) can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is recommended to trade with utmost caution or to exit the market to avoid a sharp price reversal against the previous movement. Beginners trading in the forex market should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and money management is the key to success in trading over a long period of time.  
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Navigating Thursday's Macroeconomic Landscape: US Data and Trading Insights

InstaForex Analysis InstaForex Analysis 24.08.2023 13:10
Overview of macroeconomic reports   On Thursday, no significant reports lined up for the UK, the European Union, or Germany. The US will publish reports on initial jobless claims and durable-goods orders. Unemployment claims is a relatively weak indicator simply because it is published weekly, and deviations from forecasts are rare. Since there are no deviations, there is no market reaction. Durable goods orders are more important as it reflects the change in purchase volumes of expensive category goods, such as cars, real estate, or major appliances. But the same thing applies here, it is important for the values to deviate from forecasts. If there is none, there's also no reaction. If there is, then we can expect a strong market reaction.   Overview of fundamental events There is absolutely nothing to highlight among Thursday's fundamental events. There are no speeches from officials of the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and the Bank of England. However, the Jackson Hole Symposium is about to begin. Nonetheless, all the most important speeches are scheduled for Friday, and today, there's not much to focus on.     Bottom line On Thursday, beginners might only focus on the two US reports. We don't know if they will trigger a market reaction, but at the same time, there are no other events. The movement patterns of the two main currency pairs are unlikely to change. For the euro, it's a downtrend, and for the pound, it's a flat trend. Main rules of the trading system: The strength of the signal is calculated by the time it took to form the signal (bounce/drop or overcoming the level). The less time it took, the stronger the signal. If two or more trades were opened near a certain level due to false signals, all subsequent signals from this level should be ignored. In a flat market, any currency pair can generate a lot of false signals or not generate them at all. But in any case, as soon as the first signs of a flat market are detected, it is better to stop trading. Trades are opened in the time interval between the beginning of the European session and the middle of the American one when all trades must be closed manually. On the 30-minute timeframe, you can trade based on MACD signals only on the condition of good volatility and provided that a trend is confirmed by the trend line or a trend channel. If two levels are located too close to each other (from 5 to 15 points), they should be considered as an area of support or resistance. Comments on charts Support and resistance levels are levels that serve as targets when opening long or short positions. Take Profit orders can be placed around them. Red lines are channels or trend lines that display the current trend and show which direction is preferable for trading now. The MACD (14,22,3) indicator, both histogram and signal line, is an auxiliary indicator that can also be used as a source of signals. Important speeches and reports (always found in the news calendar) can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is recommended to trade with utmost caution or to exit the market to avoid a sharp price reversal against the previous movement. Beginners trading in the forex market should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and money management is the key to success in trading over a long period of time.    

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