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Summary:

  • S&P 500 has seen 0.72% growth today.
  • The value of (XAUUSD) gold has shown bullish signals in the market today.

Read next: Tech Stocks Plunging!? Trade Desk Earnings Announcement Pushes Tech Giant Stock Down, Russian Ruble Strengthening and Ford Motor Co. 

S&P 500 is rising during trading today

The U.S CPI report which offered an update on price increases across U.S for April was released by the U.S labour department on Wednesday. The report reflected there was some deceleration of inflation figures compared to March, however, the rate of price increases exceeded analyst expectations.

The CPI for April decelerated marginally compared to the March figures. The figures represent how far the Fed will have to go in the future regarding tightening monetary policy to fight the rising prices.

Stock Market Showing Signs Of Slight Recovery Amidst U.S CPI Report Release - 1

S&P 500 Price Chart

Will Gold rally in the wake of the CPI report?

Gold futures have increased in value today, the initial increase came before the CPI report was released by the

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Awaiting Breakout from Consolidation Range

Asian equities follow Wall Street lower | Oanda

Jeffrey Halley Jeffrey Halley 10.05.2022 11:05
Asian markets fall, ex-China Wall Street suffered another day of recession fears overnight, with equities slumping once again, relying on Bostic’s comments to salve the wounds and cap US yield rises and the US dollar rally. The S&P 500 retreated by 3.20%, with the Nasdaq slumping by 4.29%, and the Dow Jones losing 1.97%. No sector was spared, notably, and despite high inflation, cash is increasingly becoming King. The rot has stopped in Asia, with US futures attempting to claw back some of the overnight losses as the bottom-feeders come out to play. S&P 500 futures have risen by 0.60%, Nasdaq futures have jumped by 0.95%, and Dow futures have gained 0.45%.   In Asia, equity markets initially tumbled in response to the Wall Street moves, in a rerun of yesterday. However, the recovery by US futures this morning seems to have taken the edge of the sell-off, with Asian markets recouping some of their earlier losses. Japan’s Nikkei 225 is now down just 0.44%, with South Korea’s Kospi down 0.47%,   Meanwhile, after a tough session yesterday, the intraday rally in sentiment has pushed mainland China exchanges well into positive territory. The Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 have rallied by 1.0%. Hong Kong was pummelled earlier today but has also recovered somewhat, but it remains 2.25% lower for the day.   In regional markets, Singapore is still down by 1.20%, while Kuala Lumpur is unchanged, and Jakarta has slumped by 2.90% led by resource stocks. Taipei has retreated by 1.65%, while Manila is down 1.0% post-election, with Bangkok managing a 0.30% gain. Australian markets are also in retreat, the ASX 200 and All Ordinaries falling by 1.30%.   What makes the session odd is that markets with a high sensitivity to the China slowdown are the worst performing in Asia today, but mainland equities have rallied. The cynic in me suspects that China’s “national team” are busy today supporting the market, especially as covid-zero policies remain in force and nerves are rising around mainland property developers once again.   European markets will struggle to construct a bullish case today as well, also President Putin not declaring a was on Ukraine at yesterday’s May Day parades could be a straw to grasp. The question is really whether the bounce in US equity futures today is the start of a recovery or merely a corrective bounce to short-term oversold indicators. This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.
Supply Trends Resurface: Analyzing the Impact on Market Dynamics

FX Daily: Beware of short-lived rallies | ING Economics

ING Economics ING Economics 10.05.2022 10:22
Some stabilisation in risk sentiment after yesterday's equity sell-off could help high-beta currencies recover some ground today. The dollar might feel some pressure, although buy-the-dip interest may emerge given the backdrop of Fed tightening, growth concerns and an unstable risk environment. The illiquid NOK may struggle to recover just yet In this article USD: Any weakness looks unlikely to last EUR: Eyes on ZEW and ECB speakers GBP: Seeking more stability NOK: Liquidity is an issue We have published our monthly FX update, for more details see: "FX Talking: Feeling the squeeze" USD: Any weakness looks unlikely to last Global equity futures are pointing to a tentative rebound in global risk assets today after a major sell-off yesterday triggered by fears of an economic slowdown at a time when central banks are tightening policy. It is not surprising to see the dollar remain strong in such an environment, retaining its safe-haven attractiveness whilst still benefiting to a certain degree from the Fed’s front-loaded tightening story. It is also quite predictable to see high-beta currencies bear most of the brunt in the current market conditions: liquidity considerations could be behind the Norwegian krone's exceptional underperformance (more in the section below), while concerns over China’s economic outlook continue to weigh on the Aussie and New Zealand dollars.  Low-yielding currencies, including the pro-cyclical euro and pound, seem to be finding some favour from the markets, although prolonged market volatility and instability in sentiment look unlikely to generate any other winners outside of the dollar or the traditional safe-havens (Japanese yen and Swiss franc). Yesterday, the Fed sounded the alarm on worsening liquidity conditions across key markets and warned of the increasing risk of a “sudden material deterioration”. Historically, tighter financial conditions tend to raise demand for dollars. It’s a quiet day in the US calendar today, with some focus only on the NFIB Small Business Optimism survey for April. There are, however, a number of Fed speakers scheduled this afternoon: the “neutral” John Williams and Tom Barkin, the dove Neel Kashkari and the hawks Loretta Mester and Christopher Waller. The impact of any policy comment might, however, be reduced as markets may wait for tomorrow’s CPI figures before any material re-adjustment in the Fed’s rate expectations. We think risk sentiment will drive almost all FX moves today. A risk-on rebound may be on the cards after yesterday’s slump, and commodity currencies may recover some ground, to the detriment of the dollar. Given the general instability in the global risk environment, some interest in buying the dip in the dollar should remain high and we do not expect any sustained USD underperformance in the near term. EUR: Eyes on ZEW and ECB speakers EUR/USD is once again attempting to find some support in the upper half of the 1.05-1.06 range. Some resilience amid yesterday’s turbulent market conditions and a potential stabilisation in risk sentiment today could combine to fuel a break above 1.0600 today. Still, the upside remains limited – in our view – given some USD buying and lingering concern about the ban on Russian oil currently under discussion in the EU. Hungary’s opposition is the key hurdle at the moment, and talks between Brussels and Budapest are set to resume today after President Orban opposed the embargo despite the EU allowing more time for Hungary to comply. On the data side, markets will focus on ZEW figures out of Germany today. Both the “expectations” and “current situation” surveys are set to show another drop in May given high energy prices and the prolonged geopolitical risk. However, the impact on EUR/USD of the latest ZEW releases has been quite negligible. There are also a few ECB speakers to keep an eye on today, as markets now appear to cement their expectations around a July hike (which is also our base case) but remain torn around the size of rate increases in 2022. One of the most hawkish members of the Governing Council, Germany’s Joachim Nagel, will speak first this afternoon, followed by the more moderate François Villeroy and Luis De Guindos. We see some modest upside risk for EUR/USD today, with any rally possibly stalling already around the 1.0650 level. GBP: Seeking more stability The pound is finally finding some stability after a rough couple of weeks. Some stabilisation in sentiment should offer additional support today, and possibly help a return to the 1.2500 mark in GBP/USD. Still, the market’s overly hawkish expectations on Bank of England tightening and uncertainty around the British economic outlook are set to keep GBP/USD capped in our view. We have a 1.2400 target for cable for the summer months, followed by a very gradual recovery in 2H22.   The UK data calendar is empty today, and there are no scheduled BoE speakers. NOK: Liquidity is an issue The Norwegian krone is finding some modest support this morning, following a general rebound in high-beta currencies and some above-consensus CPI figures in Norway, which showed an acceleration in headline inflation to 5.4% and in the core rate to 2.6%. The release endorses our view that Norges Bank will bring interest rates to 1.50% by year-end, with risks skewed towards an even faster pace of tightening. The domestic backdrop is therefore set to remain quite supportive for NOK, and so should the commodity picture – especially if the EU implements the Russian oil ban. However, NOK is the least liquid currency in the G10, which makes it exceptionally vulnerable and volatile during periods of risk sentiment turbulence. Until risk assets find some peace, despite monetary tightening and global slowdown concerns, NOK will struggle to recover. Once the dust settles, however, NOK’s set of attractive fundamentals should fuel a gradual return to the 9.50-9.70 area – which we expect to materialise in the second half of the year. Disclaimer This publication has been prepared by ING solely for information purposes irrespective of a particular user's means, financial situation or investment objectives. The information does not constitute investment recommendation, and nor is it investment, legal or tax advice or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instrument. Read more
EUR/USD Downside Risks in a Bearish Bond Market: Assessing the Impact of 10-Year Treasury Yields at 5.0%

Sell in May and go away - 2022 version | Conotoxia

Conotoxia Comments Conotoxia Comments 10.05.2022 11:11
Financial markets still seem to be discounting the prospects of more difficult and expensive capital raising after interest rate hikes and a weaker outlook for the economy with consumption falling due to inflation. For the first 10 days of the month alone, the German Dax fell by about 4 percent, the U.S. Nasdaq 100 by 3.7 percent, the S&P 500 by 2.5 percent Thus, the stock market saying sell in May and go away in 2022 sounds prophetic, as since the beginning of the month it has been hard to find financial assets that could gain in value. For the first 10 days of the month alone, the German Dax fell by about 4 percent, the U.S. Nasdaq 100 by 3.7 percent, the S&P 500 by 2.5 percent, and the DJIA by 1.5 percent. Silver has dipped by 4.5 percent, Meanwhile, since the beginning of the month, the U.S. dollar has gained 0.64 percent. The markets are therefore seeing a broad outflow into cash as part of the potential cash phase of the business cycle, which typically occurs before the bond phase, when these have reached the peak of their yields. This, in turn, may be related to the anticipation of interest rate hikes and a peak in inflation. Nevertheless, it can be added that today's financial market offers solutions that can allow trading both under the rise and also under the fall of financial asset prices, including cryptocurrencies. It is cryptocurrencies that may be the loudest again today, since the beginning of May brought a crash in this market. It is cryptocurrencies that may be the loudest again today, since the beginning of May brought a crash in this market. Tonight bitcoin was trading near of $29,000, which was the lowest value since the crash in May 2021. It is safe to say that history has repeated itself in May 2022, and the background seems very interesting. We are talking about the breaking of the stablecoin UST, which at one point was trading below $0.7. This in turn may have forced the release of bitcoin reserves, which were a hedge against a 1:1 UST to USD exchange rate and a massive supply of BTC tonight. The event was reminiscent of George Soros' breaking of the Bank of England or the release of the franc from the minimum exchange rate at 1.20 against the euro. Whether cryptocurrencies can recover from this remains an open question, as one of the stable coin foundations has been undermined Once again the financial market, this time in crypto, served up an event like we have never seen before and on a scale that has not been seen before. Whether cryptocurrencies can recover from this remains an open question, as one of the stable coin foundations has been undermined. Daniel Kostecki, Director of the Polish branch of Conotoxia Ltd. (Forex service) Materials, analysis and opinions contained, referenced or provided herein are intended solely for informational and educational purposes. Personal opinion of the author does not represent and should not be constructed as a statement or an investment advice made by Conotoxia Ltd. All indiscriminate reliance on illustrative or informational materials may lead to losses. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 80.77% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stock Market Showing Signs Of Slight Recovery Amidst U.S CPI Report Release

Stock Market Showing Signs Of Slight Recovery Amidst U.S CPI Report Release

Rebecca Duthie Rebecca Duthie 11.05.2022 18:05
Summary: S&P 500 has seen 0.72% growth today. The value of (XAUUSD) gold has shown bullish signals in the market today. Read next: Tech Stocks Plunging!? Trade Desk Earnings Announcement Pushes Tech Giant Stock Down, Russian Ruble Strengthening and Ford Motor Co.  S&P 500 is rising during trading today The U.S CPI report which offered an update on price increases across U.S for April was released by the U.S labour department on Wednesday. The report reflected there was some deceleration of inflation figures compared to March, however, the rate of price increases exceeded analyst expectations. The CPI for April decelerated marginally compared to the March figures. The figures represent how far the Fed will have to go in the future regarding tightening monetary policy to fight the rising prices. S&P 500 Price Chart Will Gold rally in the wake of the CPI report? Gold futures have increased in value today, the initial increase came before the CPI report was released by the U.S labor department, and the increase has continued after the release. The lower than expected CPI figures bode well in the favour of the gold prices as uncertainty arises amongst investors on the Fed's next move. With volatility in the stock markets likely to continue, perhaps investors are trying to hedge their bets, driving the price of gold upwards. Gold Futures Jun’22 Read next: (BTC) Bitcoin’s Price Tanks Along With Equities. U.S. Stock Market Awaits CPI Report, Poor Performance From The FTSE 100.  Sources: Finance.yahoo.com

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