head and shoulders

In this 17 mins video, we will cover: 1- How To Spot a Valid Head & Shoulders 2- How To Trade Head & Shoulders 3- Many Practical Examples on 10 Altcoins Enjoy it 👌 www.RichTL.com

Strong run continues Chinese data doesn’t hinder the rally Momentum may be key as price approaches August highs   Oil prices are nudging higher again today, technically on course for a fifth day of gains in six in Brent – six in a row in WTI – although broadly speaking they’re just a little above the middle of what appears to be a newly established range. Brent peaked near $88 a few weeks ago and bottomed around $82 last week as we await more direction on the economy and therefore demand. Data this week has been on the weaker side, although it’s the jobs report tomorrow we’re most interested in. The Chinese PMIs overnight had something for everyone. Manufacturing was unexpectedly improved but still contracting at 49.7 while services were quite the opposite, expanding but at a slower pace than anticipated. All in all, it continues to paint the picture of a sluggish economy that’s showing few signs of bouncing back stronger.   Head and shoulders not meant to be The head and shoulders that formed over the last month appears to have failed before it even completed, with the recent rally taking the price above the peak of the right shoulder.     BCOUSD Daily   While these formations are never perfect, as per the textbook, and it could be argued that a decline from here could still potentially qualify as a second right shoulder, that may be clutching at this point. It’s peaked a dollar above, even if it only looks relatively minor on the chart which suggests to me the previous formation – which is only complete with a break of the neckline – is now null and void. Perhaps I can be persuaded otherwise if the price heads south from here. The question now is how bullish a signal this actually is? Are we going to see a run at this month’s highs? A break above $90? I’m not convinced at this stage. Recent momentum looks quite healthy but which could be a promising sign. But that will only be put to the test as we near the previous highs around $88. If the MACD and stochastic keep making higher highs as the price approaches $88 then that would certainly look more promising.  

Fed policymakers encouraged by recent data but won’t get complacent BoE interest rate expectations barely changed after UK Autumn Statement GBPUSD reverses near key resistance The two big events of the last 24 hours haven’t really packed the punch they occasionally can which perhaps explains why we aren’t seeing big moves today.   Fed determined to “proceed carefully” The FOMC minutes were arguably slightly on the dovish side, with the committee now seemingly of the view that no further hikes will be needed, with the language instead focusing on the need to proceed carefully. While we probably will still hear more of the higher for longer mantra from policymakers in public ahead of the December meeting, it’s clear now that the FOMC is pleased with the recent progress it’s seen and as long as it doesn’t go into reverse, rate hikes are a thing of the past. The question now is how long before the rate-cutting conversations begin. Markets are pricing in the first reduction around June but I can’t imagine policymakers will acknowledge that possibility for some time. The late pivot still looks highly likely as the Fed seeks to avoid underestimating inflation again. Markets still pricing in a possible UK rate cut in June The UK Autumn Statement wasn’t a big market-moving event today and perhaps in the current environment, that’s a good thing. Given the speculation in recent days around what measures Chancellor Jeremy Hunt would announce due to the additional fiscal headroom and proximity to the election, there have been some concerns that measures could run counter to the Bank of England’s goal of getting inflation back to 2%. The fact that the pound was fairly steady during today’s event and markets are still pricing in a 50% chance of a rate cut by June suggests investors are not concerned about any inflationary implications on the back of today’s announcements.   GBPUSD pulls back near key resistance The pair had rallied in recent weeks towards 1.26 which only recently had been a major technical level. GBPUSD Daily Source – OANDA on Trading View   Not only does it represent the 50% retracement of the move from the July highs to the October lows, but it coincides with the neckline from the head and shoulders it broke below in early September. Yesterday it was looking a little short of momentum which could be a red flag near such a potentially important technical level. It’s now rotated lower which doesn’t necessarily mean it’s failed and heading lower, but it may suggest the market views it as an important level.