brent crude oil prices

  Once inflation is set free, it never returns to the previous state. The fight requires fast thinking, but major banks still sit on the fence. On the global economic scene, major central banks still don’t really know which pedal to use - either the one to fight inflation (tapering) or the other one to keep taking their shoot of quantitative easing (money-printing) policies. Inflation, however, is like toothpaste: once you got it out, you can’t get it back in again. So, instead of squeezing the tube too strongly, both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) are likely to maintain an accommodating tone this week, which could eventually benefit the price of black gold. Crude oil prices were looking for a direction to take on Tuesday, after mixed reports emerged, one rather pessimistic on global demand (published by EIA) and the other, more optimistic over sustained demand, from the OPEC group. Indeed, the first report came from the International Energy Agency (IEA) on Tuesday morning. It slightly lowered its forecast of world oil demand for 2021 and 2022, by 100,000 barrels per day on average, mainly to consider the lower use of air fuels due to new restrictions on international travel. The second one, from OPEC, stated on Monday in a more optimistic bias that the cartel has indeed maintained its forecasts for global oil demand in 2021 and 2022. It estimated that the impact of Omicron should be moderate and short-term since the world is becoming better equipped to face new variants and difficulties they may cause. Therefore, while the prospect of possible travel restrictions and new lockdowns worries investors, the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported on Tuesday a drop in commercial crude reserves of 800,000 barrels last week. On the geopolitical scene, growing tensions between Russia and the West over the conflict in Ukraine are contributing to escalating gas prices, given that a third of European gas comes from Russia. WTI Crude Oil (CLF22) Futures (January contract, daily chart, logarithmic scale) Brent Crude Oil (UKOIL) CFD (daily chart, logarithmic scale) Henry Hub Natural Gas (NGF22) Futures (January contract, daily chart, logarithmic scale) In summary, we can witness more volatile markets than usual for the month of December. Even though this could be accentuated by the end-of-year adjustment operations among traders, some uncertainties with central banks’ monetary policies remain and are certainly weighing on the financial markets, especially in the inflationary context. Thus, the week ahead could be an interesting one for both the black gold and the greenback. Like what you’ve read? Subscribe for our daily newsletter today, and you'll get 7 days of FREE access to our premium daily Oil Trading Alerts as well as our other Alerts. Sign up for the free newsletter today! Thank you. Sebastien BischeriOil & Gas Trading Strategist * * * * * The information above represents analyses and opinions of Sebastien Bischeri, & Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be subject to change without notice. At the time of writing, we base our opinions and analyses on facts and data sourced from respective essays and their authors. Although formed on top of careful research and reputably accurate sources, Sebastien Bischeri and his associates cannot guarantee the reported data's accuracy and thoroughness. The opinions published above neither recommend nor offer any securities transaction. Mr. Bischeri is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Sebastien Bischeri’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Sebastien Bischeri, Sunshine Profits' employees, affiliates as well as their family members may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Summary: Coffee futures prices are being affected by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. Brent Crude Oil Prices falling despite ongoing uncertainties with the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Gold futures prices falling as the US bond yields change once again. Coffee futures prices showing volatility. The futures price for coffee has fallen 2.11% since the market opened this morning. The uncertainty of the Russia-Ukraine war with no sign of slowing, has had an adverse effect on the price of coffee futures over the last while, this is represented in the graph below. There are concerns about growth and therefore supply with the Russia-Ukraine conflicts and in addition the poor rainfall in Brazil this year continues to raise concerns about supply, however the demand is also decreasing as a result of the conflicts. This relationship could be causing the volatility in this commodity. Coffee Jul ‘22 Futures Prices Is the Price of Brent Crude Oil Finally Falling? Since the market opened this morning, the price of Brent Crude Oil has fallen by almost 5%. The weakening of the price comes despite the Russia-Ukraine war uncertainties and the post-covid world economy reopening. Occasionally the price of Brent Crude is adversely affected as the US Dollar strengthens, seeing as the Fed increased the U.S yields again for the seventh consecutive week, the US dollar saw more strengthening on the market today, this could be a possible reason for the price fall in Brent Crude. Brent Crude Oil Price Chart   Read next: (XAGUSD) Price of Silver Vs. U.S Yields, Lumber and Corn Futures Dependent on Demand and Supply    Gold prices affected by US Yields once again. This time last week gold futures had hit their high for April, however since the market opened this morning, the price has fallen by 1.96%, and is 5% down from its 18 April high. Normally gold is used as a hedge against inflation, however since the US yields increased again, the opportunity cost of holding gold and not bonds increases, driving the price of gold down further. This commodity is one to watch especially if the Fed continues to be hawkish. Gold Futures Price Chart Sources: Finance.yahoo.com, dailyfx.com, ndtv.com   Read Next: Unexpectedly Gold Price (XAUUSD) Falls, Canada And Chicago - Weather Makes Wheat Futures Fluctuate. The Price Of Palladium - Industrial Activity Is Taking Strain   

Summary: Despite the earnings of Chevron and Exxon not meeting expectations, the price of Brent Crude Oil continues to rise. Cotton futures prices rise as farmers begin to hoard. Gold prices on the rise again amidst worrying U.S GDP numbers. Brent Crude Oil price increase continues. The week started off poorly for the Brent Crude Oil stocks, but have since then risen substantially. Despite the earnings report of energy sector giants Chevron and Exxon falling short of investor expectations, the price of Brent Crude Oil still saw price rises over the past 24 hours. The price increase comes with the West continuing to move away from Russia for their oil supplies and therefore the concerns around supply continue. Brent Crude Oil Price Chart Read next: Platinum and Random Length Lumber Futures Prices Falling Whilst Corn Futures Are Showing Bullish Signals.   Cotton futures may continue to be bullish. The Price of cotton futures continues to rise amidst China's lockdowns as concerns about crop planting and adverse weather conditions rise. With China being one of the major suppliers of cotton worldwide and therefore future supply concerns pushing the price up, as well as farmers hoarding their cotton in hopes the future prices will increase the commodity prices are likely to continue this bullish trend. Cotton Futures Jul ‘22 Price Chart Gold Futures on the rise again. Gold Futures rose on Friday as worrying U.S economic data sent investors seeking the gold safe-haven investment. US GDP came out as disappointing, meaning that pressure could be taken off the Fed to continue on its hawkish monetary pursuit, begging the question of whether fighting the inflation is worth dragging the economy into a recession. Gold Futures Price Chart Read next: Natural GAS (NGAS) and RBOB Gasoline’s (RB) May Futures Expected To Increase Further In 2022. Copper (HG) Prices Also Forecasted To Increase.   Sources: Finance.yahoo.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com 

Summary: Brent crude oil faces production problems around the world. Silver prices have been driven down by the US Dollar rally. Corn Futures are expected to remain elevated. Brent Crude Oil prices heavily affected by China's lockdowns. Over the past week we have seen the price of Brent Crude Oil fell amidst the lockdowns in China. The effect the lockdowns have had on the macro economy have been big, this price fall comes despite the warnings of production problems. There is currently a production problem with crude oil worldwide. April saw Russia’s production fall by almost 1 million barrels. The problems in the supply chains, the war and the lockdowns in China are all causing huge market volatility. Brent Crude Oil Price Chart   Read next: Gold (XAUUSD) Prices Fall As U.S Yields Rise, Wheat Prices Facing Pressure, Palladium Prices In Recovery! - Commodities Today.   Silver Prices struggling to fight against the current US Dollar rally. After seeing a dip in price on Monday, the price of silver futures seem to be somewhat recovering. One of the dominant drivers of the silver price is investor demand, seeing as it is considered a safe-haven asset that is mainly used by manufacturers of goods. The US Dollar continued to rally this past week, which is increasing the opportunity cost of holding silver, driving demand and prices down. Silver Futures Price Chart Corn Future Prices expected to stay elevated. The price of corn futures saw large increases earlier this week, this comes as a result of the poor harvest in Latin America for this season, and war in the Ukraine putting pressure on supply chains and supply. Corn is up by 37% year-to-date. The prices are expected to stay elevated for some time to come. Corn Futures Price Chart   Read next: Exxon and Chevron Earnings Announcements Has Little Effect on Brent Crude Oil Prices, Bullish Market Sentiment For Cotton and Gold Prices Rise Again    Sources: finance.yahoo.com

Summary: Major concerns around supply of oil. EU to cut demand for all Russian energy imports within a year. Read next: (HOOD) Can Robinhood Recover From Their Q1 Earnings Announcement ?!  Crude Oil Prices Continue To Surge. The ongoing lockdown in China caused the prices of crude oil to fall, the fall comes despite the production issues around oil. The concerns about supply of oil have become much more serious, according to the International Energy Agency, crude oil demand is meant to increase this year, this outlook remains even taking into account the reduction in demand as a result of the extended lockdowns in China. The concerns around supply have outweighed the fall early this week, especially after the EU’s intentions to stop imports of Crude Oil from Russia within 6 months, and all energy within 1 year. European Union’s plans to ban Russian Crude Oil Imports. The European Union announced their plans to ban imports for Russian crude oil within the next 6 months, the announcement pushed the price of WTI crude oil up by almost 4%. This move comes in an attempt to cut off Russia from the EU and by doing so, starve their economic reserves which are currently funding Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine. WTI Crude Oil Futures Price Chart. Read next: (TWTR) Twitter Share Price Down After Musk Takeover Gets Approved.  Sources: finance.yahoo.com, barrons.com

Summary: The international oil benchmark fell around 6% on Friday. Silver fell below the $22 per-ounce mark on Friday, closing at its lowest level since June 2020. Failed negotiations between Russia and the Ukraine. Read next: Coffee Prices Rising Amidst Tight Supply Concerns, WTI Oil Facing Its First Weekly Decline Since Mid-April, Platinum Prices At 6 Week Low  Brent Crude Oil prices remain supported Brent Crude Oil prices fell to almost 5 week lows on Monday amidst concerns around slowing global economic growth and fuel demand which outweighed expectations of higher near-term consumption and ongoing supply issues. The international oil benchmark fell around 6% on Friday amidst concerns of global economic fallouts from higher interest rates shook financial markets. U.S Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm warned markets of a “continued upward pull on demand” over the weekend, and of the likelihood of high gasoline prices continuing. Crude prices have been supported by the war in the Ukraine, civil unrest in Libya and OPEC’s failure to pump more oil. Brent Crude Oil Price Chart Silver prices close below $22 per-ounce Silver fell below the $22 per-ounce mark on Friday, closing at its lowest level since June 2020, in the wake of bets of more aggressive monetary policy tightening by central banks steered investors away from the non-yield metal. Silver Jul ‘22 Futures Price Chart Corn prices rising amidst new concerns around supply Corn prices rose to 4 week highs in mid-June amidst new concerns around grain supplies. Talks between Russia and the Ukraine, two of the largest grain exporters, around resuming Ukrainian exports failed, despite Turkish efforts to negotiate a safe corridor for the grain stuck at Black Sea ports. Meanwhile, Brazil and Beijing reached an agreement after years of negotiation to start corn exports from Brazil to China. Corn Dec ‘22 Futures Price Chart Sources: finance.yahoo.com, tradingeconomics.com

Summary: Fed policymakers are signaling yet another 75 basis point rate increase in July. WTI is bullish. Platinum Prices are at 19 month lows. Read next: https://www.fxmag.com/commodities/wheat-prices-supported-by-increased-importer-demand-weaker-demand-is-plunging-platinum-prices-rbob-gasoline  Gold Futures near 7 week lows. Gold prices neared near 7 week lows on Friday as a strong dollar continued on its path to dampening demand for bullion, whilst a broader market sentiment in risk assets pushed investors to liquidate their gold positions to offset losses in their other holdings. Fed policymakers indicated during this week a commitment to controlling inflation even at the risk of a recession, signaling yet another 75 basis point rate increase in July. Gold is normally considered as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty, however higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Gold Aug ‘22 Futures Price Chart Investors weigh tight supply on the backdrop of falling demand WTI Crude Oil WTI crude oil futures dipped and bounced back during the Friday trading day as investors weighed a tightening supply on the backdrop of recession prospects and a slowing economy causing a decline in demand. Earlier this week OPEC+ agreed to stick to its output strategy, increasing production by 648,000 barrels per day in July and August, despite signs that the physical crude market remains very tight. In addition, factors added to the bullish outlook for crude include supply outages in Libya and expected shutdowns in Norway. WTI Crude Oil Aug ‘22 Futures Price Chart Platinum prices at 19 month lows Platinum prices plunged amidst prospects of a weaker demand for the metal that outweighed the fear of tighter supplies. As major central banks all over the world continue to raise interest rates in an attempt to control inflation despite the possibility of a recession, in the wake of aggressive monetary policy, a slowdown in economic activity (including vehicle production) is inevitable. As the war in the Ukraine shows no signs of slowing, global platinum supplies are expected to remain subdued. Platinum Oct ‘22 Futures Price Chart Sources: finance.yahoo.com, tradingeconomics.com, fxmag.com

Summary: Fears of a global recession are expected to dampen energy demand. Aggressive Fed prospects driving silver demand down. Hot weather conditions affecting corn growing prospects. Read next: Aggressive Fed Increases The Opportunity Cost OF Holding Silver, WTI Crude Oil Prices, Corn: Traders Weigh Weak Demand & Tight Supply  Concerns around demand driving Brent Crude Oil Prices down Brent Crude Oil futures fell during Monday trading after posting a loss last week in volatile trading in the wake of fears around a global recession and new COVID 19 virus restrictions in China, both of which outweighed fears around supply. Fears of a global recession are expected to dampen energy demand and continue to rule over market sentiment as major central banks continue to fight inflation through aggressive monetary policy interest rate hikes. In addition, a new omicron variant of COVID-19 has been discovered in Shanghai and has heightened fears of further restrictions. At the same time, market participants remain unsure about the western nations plans to cap Russian oil prices as Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that further sanctions could lead to "catastrophic" consequences within the global energy market. Brent Crude Oil Futures Price Chart Silver prices hover around $20 per ounce Silver prices are still sitting around the $20 per ounce mark, a level that has not been seen since July 2020. The price drop comes in the wake of stronger bets of a more aggressive Federal Reserve to increase interest rates in an attempt to reign in sky-high inflation. Silver is normally used as a hedge against inflation, however as treasury yields rise, the opportunity cost of holding silver rises. Silver Sep ‘22 Futures Price Chart Corn futures rose to 8-week highs Corn Futures have risen on Monday to 8-week highs and not far from the 10 year high hit in April. The price rose in the wake of concerns around tighter supplies amid an already short supply market that has been caused by the Russia-Ukraine war. Hot weather conditions in the US and European growing belt have nullified the price drop during the last trading week. At the same time, Chinese import demand also increased. Corn Dec ‘22 Futures Price Chart Sources: finance.yahoo.com, tradingeconomics.com

Summary: A worsening demand forecast is driving Brent crude oil down. UK living standards are expected to drop by the most in six decades. 48 hours before the Word Cup begins, Qatar banned the sale of beer in supporter zones. Brent Crude oil price drop below $90 A worsening demand forecast trumped supply-side worries as Brent crude futures traded below $90 per barrel on Friday and were expected to conclude the week more than 6 percent lower. In China, the world's top fuel importer, resurgent Covid outbreaks have crushed reopening hopes and muddied the demand outlook. There are still worries that major central banks' aggressive monetary tightening could push the world economy into a recession, which would harm demand for energy. President of the St. Louis Federal Reserve James Bullard recently warned that the federal funds rate might rise above what the market is currently pricing, to a range of 5 to 7 percent as authorities fight inflation. Though the European Union is poised to block Russian crude exports starting in December, and OPEC is anticipated to keep oil markets tight, traders remained wary of the supply outlook heading into the winter. Brent crude oil has dipped below $90 for the first time since October. https://t.co/fCTebNF4GD pic.twitter.com/ZLv0beAm1n — Yahoo Finance Plus (@yfinanceplus) November 17, 2022 UK chancellor Hunt “mini” budget The contrast between Chancellor Jeremy Hunt's Autumn Statement and his predecessor Kwasi Kwarteng's "mini" Budget was so stark that it appeared as though a new political party had taken office. Britain has gone from having the biggest tax cuts in 50 years to the strictest combination of revenue-raising and spending restraints in more than a decade in the span of eight weeks. The market response indicates that despite being backloaded, the £55 billion in budget cuts were successful in calming investors. The dismal prognosis that required the measures, however, was even more striking than the actual actions. Living standards are expected to drop by the most in six decades, and the economy won't recover to its pre-pandemic level until the end of 2024. Despite the stabilization of its finances, Britain's persistent development issues persist. In order to reassure investors that he was serious about budget contraction, the Conservative chancellor needed to take the right amount of action without frightening away his own backbenchers. Convincing investors that Hunt and the incoming PM Rishi Sunak are serious individuals came down to tone and presentation when restoring respect. Support for the Bank of England's efforts to fight inflation, as well as its independence and respect for the Office for Budget Responsibility, the government's watchdog, were correctly emphasized in the discourse. In essence, it makes political and economic sense to postpone the majority of the tightening until 2025 and achieve almost half of it through tax increases. A dismal outlook for the UK economy https://t.co/GeFI5zRmBp | opinion — Financial Times (@FT) November 17, 2022 Qatar banning beer suddenly Just 48 hours before the tournament starts, Qatar made a sudden U-turn on its alcohol policy and banned the sale of beer in supporter zones at World Cup stadiums. However, the Gulf state agreed to permit the sale of Budweiser, one of the World Cup's largest sponsors, in specific places outside the eight stadiums holding games. The Gulf state restricts the sale of alcohol to high-end hotels. But according to Fifa, after discussions between the host country authorities and Fifa, beer sales kiosks will no longer be present around stadium boundaries. There was a last-minute change of heart due to worries that Qataris would feel uncomfortable in locations where people were drinking for up to three hours before matches, according to persons briefed on the organizers' thinking. Alcoholic beverages are now restricted to stadium hospitality sections and specific Doha locations, like the Fifa Fan Festival, where a cup of beer costs nearly GBP12. Beer without alcohol will still be offered in stadiums. Fifa, which has a 30-year commercial agreement with Budweiser, finds the action insulting. Later on Friday, an announcement regarding the change in policy is anticipated. In a since-deleted tweet, Budweiser responded to the prohibition by writing, "Well, this is awkward". Qatar bans beer from World Cup fan zones https://t.co/0xLKSQ6ibO — Financial Times (@FT) November 18, 2022 Sources: twitter.com, ft.com, finance.yahoo.com